We split our MLB betting picks yesterday, running our weekly total to 3-2 through two slates. Wednesday brings another 15 games to sweat, with our favorite pitcher returning to the mound for the Tigers.
Detroit’s ace and reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skbual will face the lowly Pirates, one of the most favorable matchups possible. Online sportsbooks are well aware of the mismatch and have adjusted Skubal’s props accordingly. They might’ve overlooked his hits allowed prop, so that’s our first target.
Favorite MLB Betting Picks for Wednesday Night
Bet365 and DraftKings make it easy to view different player props. Try making these MLB betting picks with bonuses on each app.
MLB Player Prop Pick #1: Skubal Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-130 at Bet365)
At the time of writing, Skubal is -130 to surrender under 4.5 hits. That’s a feat he’s accomplished three times in his past four starts, and five times since the start of May. He enters play in spectacular form, yielding only one run over his last 30.2 innings. Opponent batters are making hard contact on less than 28% of their at-bats and have been limited to a putrid .197/.225/.274 slash line.
Skubal hasn’t faced the Pittsburgh lineup much, but when he has it hasn’t gone well for the Pirates. They’ve managed only 6 hits over 32 at-bats, while striking out at a 28% clip. Pittsburgh has struggled to generate offense all season, ranking in the bottom-five in hits, average, slugging percentage and OPS.
As a friendly reminder, please remember to shop for the best MLB betting lines. This prop is being offered at -130 over at Bet365, but other major books are pricing it at -145 or shorter.
MLB Player Prop Pick #2: Misiorowski Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110 at DraftKings)
For our next target, we’re sticking in the pitching props market. We’re looking to bet against rookie Jacob Misiorowski of the Brewers, targeting under 4.5 strikeouts. Misiorowski will be making
just his second big-league start and has battled serious control issues all season split between the big leagues and minors. Also not helping is the matchup, as the Cubs rake versus right-handed pitching.
Let’s start with Misiorowski’s control woes. Sure, he didn’t allow a hit over 5 innings versus the Cardinals in his debut, but he walked 4 batters. Just 49 of his 81 pitches were strikes, and the Chicago hitters will likely deploy an extremely patient approach at the plate tonight, forcing the rookie to prove he can find the strike zone.
Misiorowski averaged over five walks per nine innings across three different classes of minor league ball last year and was over six free passes per nine in 2023. He does have upper-level velocity across all his primary pitches, but it’s nothing the Cubs haven’t seen before.
Chicago enters play ranked second in runs per game, and top-five in hits, home runs, slugging percentage and OPS. They rank sixth in wOBA and ISO versus righties like Misiorowski this season, striking out at the eighth lowest rate. Fade the rookie’s strikeout prop today. You’ll be glad you did.
