We struck out in the player props market, going 0-2 with yesterday’s selections. Our third wager of Gabriel Arias under 0.5 hits was wiped off the board due to an unexpected night off, bringing our weekly record to 5-3 heading into the weekend.
The good news is we’re still in the black, and the even better news is we’re back to a full slate on Friday with all 30 teams in action. The highest total game, to no surprise, comes to us from Colorado, where the Rockies host the mighty Yankees in the ultimate David vs Goliath matchup.
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MLB Player Prop Picks for May 23
Paul Goldschmidt Over 2.5 Hits, Runs and RBI (-130 at Bet365)
It might seem like low hanging fruit to continue to pick on Colorado, but they truly are one of the worst teams we’ve seen in quite some time. It doesn’t help that they play in baseball’s most hitter friendly park, elevating the ceiling of every opposing lineup that comes to town.
The Yankees certainly don’t need any help scoring runs, while Paul Goldschmidt doesn’t require any assistance putting up impressive numbers. The 37-year-old is batting .337 this season,which is the highest mark of his career.
He’s making hard contact at a 40% clip, and has a career .329/.416/.605 slash line at Coors Field. Goldschmidt has cleared over 2.5 hits, runs and RBI nine times in May already, and is a good bet to do so again tonight.
That’s especially true with Tanner Gordon toeing the rubber for Colorado. The 27-year-old has a career 8.19 ERA and 1.72 WHIP over nine MLB starts. He’s had just one outing so far in 2025, and it did not go well. Gordon was tagged for 9 hits by the Tigers lineup, surrendering 7 runs.
Clayton Kershaw Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110 at Bet365)
While Goldschmidt is crushing it at age 37, the same cannot be said for Clayton Kershaw. The multiple-time Cy Young Award winner is working his way back from knee and toe surgeries, and the early returns are not good. Kershaw’s season debut last weekend lasted only 4 innings against the woeful Angels. He surrendered 5 hits and 5 runs, walking 3 and striking out 2. His control was all over the place, with only 48 of 83 pitches landing for strikes.
Now he has to face the potent Mets bats, on the road in his second start. The control issues are worrisome, but a deeper dive reveals more issues for the Dodgers hurler. His fastball velocity was just 89.2 miles per hour, while his slider was sub. 86 mph. The lack of velocity reduces the effectiveness of his curveball, allowing hitters to be more patient knowing they can easily catchup to a fastball if they guess wrong.
Kershaw generated only a 10% swing and miss rate in his debut, which is a carryover from last season. In 2024, Kershaw’s swing and miss rate was a career-low 10.5%, while his K/9 rate was only 7.2, two strikeouts below his previous low mark. We’re betting he falls under 3.5 strikeouts tonight, getting juicy +110 odds in the process.
